Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWigan to win ✓63% · @1.47
Double chanceWigan or draw ✓83% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Wigan vs Aston Villa U21 preview and prediction
The match
The EFL Trophy sees Wigan take on Aston Villa U21 on Tuesday 18 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at The Brick Community Stadium. Wigan are 4th with 1 points from 3 games, while Aston Villa U21 sit 4th on 0 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Wigan's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Cambridge United 2–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Aston Villa U21's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Tamworth 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Aston Villa U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Wigan and 1.1 for Aston Villa U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wigan 63%, draw 21%, Aston Villa U21 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Wigan 2–1 Aston Villa U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wigan63%fair 1.59 · @1.47
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @4.55
Aston Villa U2117%fair 6.06 · @5.30
3.31Expected goals
2.23Wigan xG
1.08Aston Villa U21 xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Wigan 2.2 – 1.1 Aston Villa U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wigan to win✓
63%
1.59
1.47
Double chance
Wigan or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Half-time result
Wigan ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wigan / FT Wigan✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Form
Wigan – last 6
LDLDWL
15 Aug
@ Cambridge United
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ Barnsley
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Grimsby
0–2
L
31 Jul
@ Southport
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ AFC Fylde
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Port Vale
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aston Villa U21 – last 6
WLDWLW
21 Jul
@ Tamworth
2–1
W
1 May
vs Manchester City U21
2–3
L
24 Apr
@ Southampton U21
3–3
D
17 Apr
@ Stoke City U21
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Middlesbrough U21
0–2
L
6 Apr
@ Blackburn Rovers U21
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wigan and Aston Villa U21.
What is the prediction for Wigan vs Aston Villa U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Wigan vs Aston Villa U21?
On our numbers Wigan have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aston Villa U21 17%.
How many goals will there be in Wigan vs Aston Villa U21?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wigan vs Aston Villa U21?
Our predicted score is Wigan 2–1 Aston Villa U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Wigan vs Aston Villa U21?
Wigan vs Aston Villa U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at The Brick Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.