Northampton vs Brighton U21 preview and prediction
The match
Brighton U21 travel to Sixfields Stadium in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday 18 August (19:00 WAT) to face Northampton. Northampton are 1st with 9 points from 3 games, while Brighton U21 sit 4th on 1 points.
Form guide
Northampton's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Swindon Town 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Brighton U21's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Millwall U21 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Brighton U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.4 for Northampton and 0.9 for Brighton U21. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 61%.
Our pre-match pick was Northampton to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.51, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Northampton 2–0 Brighton U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Northampton68%fair 1.46 · @1.51
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @4.50
Brighton U2111%fair 9.22 · @4.90
3.32Expected goals
2.40Northampton xG
0.92Brighton U21 xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
3–08%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Northampton 2.4 – 0.9 Brighton U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northampton to win✗
68%
1.46
1.51
Double chance
Northampton or draw✗
89%
1.12
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Half-time result
Northampton ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Northampton / FT Northampton✗
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.58
–
Form
Northampton – last 6
DLWDWD
15 Aug
vs Swindon Town
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Leicester
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Solihull Moors
4–2
W
28 Jul
@ Cambridge United
0–0
D
22 Jul
@ Southend
3–1
W
18 Jul
vs Coventry
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Brighton U21 – last 6
WWWWDW
14 Aug
vs Millwall U21
2–0
W
8 May
@ Tottenham Hotspur U21
3–1
W
4 May
vs West Ham United U21
3–0
W
24 Apr
@ Ipswich Town U21
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Aston Villa U21
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Everton U21
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Northampton and Brighton U21.
What is the prediction for Northampton vs Brighton U21?
Our pick is Northampton to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.
Who will win Northampton vs Brighton U21?
On our numbers Northampton have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Brighton U21 11%.
How many goals will there be in Northampton vs Brighton U21?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Northampton vs Brighton U21?
Our predicted score is Northampton 2–0 Brighton U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Northampton vs Brighton U21?
Northampton vs Brighton U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sixfields Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Wigan3
Aston Villa U212
Stockport County6
Everton U213
Reading1
Wycombe1
Leyton Orient1
AFC Wimbledon1
Barnet5
Arsenal U211