Plymouth vs Crystal Palace U21 preview and prediction
The match
The EFL Trophy sees Plymouth take on Crystal Palace U21 on Tuesday 22 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Home Park. Plymouth are 2nd with 6 points from 3 games, while Crystal Palace U21 sit 4th on 1 points.
Form guide
Plymouth's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Blackpool 4–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Crystal Palace U21's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Blackburn Rovers U21 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.3 for Plymouth and 0.7 for Crystal Palace U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Plymouth to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Plymouth 2–0 Crystal Palace U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Plymouth73%fair 1.36 · @1.25
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @5.00
Crystal Palace U218%fair 13.21 · @7.50
3.00Expected goals
2.33Plymouth xG
0.67Crystal Palace U21 xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–012%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Plymouth 2.3 – 0.7 Crystal Palace U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plymouth to win✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Double chance
Plymouth or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Plymouth ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plymouth / FT Plymouth✓
50%
1.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.39
–
Form
Plymouth – last 6
WWWLWL
19 Sep
@ Blackpool
4–2
W
12 Sep
vs Barnsley
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ Doncaster
3–2
W
1 Sep
@ Leicester
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Bradford
2–0
W
25 Aug
vs Coventry
2–4
L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Crystal Palace U21 – last 6
LWWWDL
19 Sep
vs Blackburn Rovers U21
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ Swindon Town
2–1
W
2 Sep
vs Paris Saint-Germain U21
2–1
W
28 Aug
@ Aston Villa U21
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Arsenal U21
1–1
D
4 May
vs Manchester United U21
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plymouth and Crystal Palace U21.
What is the prediction for Plymouth vs Crystal Palace U21?
Our pick is Plymouth to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Plymouth vs Crystal Palace U21?
On our numbers Plymouth have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Crystal Palace U21 8%.
How many goals will there be in Plymouth vs Crystal Palace U21?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plymouth vs Crystal Palace U21?
Our predicted score is Plymouth 2–0 Crystal Palace U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Plymouth vs Crystal Palace U21?
Plymouth vs Crystal Palace U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Home Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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