EFL Trophy · England · Home Park

Plymouth

WDWLL
Tue 10 Nov 2026

Swindon Town

LWDWD

Plymouth vs Swindon Town prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultPlymouth to win65% · @1.45
Double chancePlymouth or draw83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score66% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.68

Win chances

Plymouth65%fair 1.54 · @1.45
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @4.75
Swindon Town17%fair 5.82 · @5.25
3.65Expected goals
2.45Plymouth xG
1.20Swindon Town xG
66%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–18%
3–06%
1–06%

From our goals model: Plymouth 2.5 – 1.2 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Plymouth are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 17% for Swindon Town.

Plymouth have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 per game. Swindon Town have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 3.6 goals (2.5 for Plymouth, 1.2 for Swindon Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 3–1 (8%).

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.53.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPlymouth to win65%1.541.45
Double chancePlymouth or draw83%1.211.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score66%1.531.53
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals86%1.161.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals70%1.431.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals51%1.961.80
Half-time resultPlymouth ahead at half-time49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Plymouth / FT Plymouth43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.68–

Form

Plymouth – last 6

WDWLLW
7 Novvs Alvechurch4–0W
31 Octvs Reading0–0D
24 Oct@ Cambridge United3–2W
20 Oct@ Stevenage0–3L
17 Octvs Huddersfield0–2L
10 Octvs AFC Wimbledon2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Swindon Town – last 6

LWDWDL
7 Nov@ Milton Keynes Dons1–2L
31 Octvs Rotherham2–1W
24 Oct@ Bristol Rovers0–0D
20 Oct@ Barnet3–1W
17 Octvs Walsall1–1D
10 Octvs Crewe0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Plymouth and Swindon Town.

More EFL Trophy predictions

Crewe Wigan 572023 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 83%@1.22 Mansfield Town Chesterfield 412138 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 67%@1.53 Stockport County Tranmere 682112 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.57 Burton Albion Notts County 362143 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 Grimsby Nottingham Forest U21 711811 1Grimsby to win 71%@1.38 Huddersfield Liverpool U21 651619 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.28 Oxford United Cheltenham 682111 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.40 Leicester Walsall 74188 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.33

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Plymouth vs Swindon Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Plymouth vs Swindon Town?

On our numbers Plymouth have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Swindon Town 17%.

How many goals will there be in Plymouth vs Swindon Town?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

When is Plymouth vs Swindon Town?

Plymouth vs Swindon Town (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Home Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.