EFL Trophy · England · Field Mill
Mansfield Town
Chesterfield
Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.40
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mansfield Town 2.0 – 1.9 Chesterfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Mansfield Town and Chesterfield on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Mansfield Town have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.7 per game. Chesterfield have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 2.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 4.0 goals (2.0 for Mansfield Town, 1.9 for Chesterfield). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (8%), 1–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.41.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mansfield Town to win | 41% | 2.45 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 79% | 1.26 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 69% | 1.46 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 | 1.12 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 | 2.00 |
| Half-time result | Mansfield Town ahead at half-time | 34% | 2.95 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mansfield Town / FT Mansfield Town | 25% | 4.01 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 | 8% | 13.30 | – |
Form
Mansfield Town – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs Macclesfield | 3–0 | W |
| 3 Nov | @ Wigan | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Oct | vs Notts County | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Blackpool | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | @ AFC Wimbledon | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Oxford United | 1–1 | D |
Chesterfield – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs Yeovil Town | 4–3 | W |
| 30 Oct | @ Newport County | 1–4 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Crewe | 5–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs Colchester | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Port Vale | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Crawley Town | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mansfield Town and Chesterfield.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield?
On our numbers Mansfield Town have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chesterfield 39%.
How many goals will there be in Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
When is Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield?
Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Field Mill.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.