Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United preview and prediction
The match
Tonbridge Angels host Ebbsfleet United in the National League South on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Longmead Stadium. Tonbridge Angels are 10th with 24 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Ebbsfleet United sit 1st on 35 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Tonbridge Angels's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Ramsgate 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Ebbsfleet United's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Maidenhead 3–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Tonbridge Angels arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Tonbridge Angels 1–2 Ebbsfleet United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Tonbridge Angels and 1.5 for Ebbsfleet United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tonbridge Angels 32%, draw 21%, Ebbsfleet United 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Tonbridge Angels 1–1 Ebbsfleet United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tonbridge Angels32%fair 3.16 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Ebbsfleet United48%fair 2.09 · @2.10
2.68Expected goals
1.16Tonbridge Angels xG
1.52Ebbsfleet United xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Tonbridge Angels 1.2 – 1.5 Ebbsfleet United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?
On our numbers Tonbridge Angels have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ebbsfleet United 48%.
How many goals will there be in Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?
Our predicted score is Tonbridge Angels 1–1 Ebbsfleet United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?
Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Longmead Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.