National League South · England · The MeadowChesham United vs Maidenhead prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Chesham United 1.6 – 1.3 Maidenhead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Chesham United hold the edge on home soil with a 47% chance of winning, against 33% for Maidenhead.
Chesham United have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 3.2 and conceding 1.7 per game. Maidenhead have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded. Chesham United come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.6 for Chesham United, 1.3 for Maidenhead). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.55.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Chesham United to win ✗ | 47% | 2.12 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.17 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | 1.50 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Chesham United / FT Chesham United ✗ | 27% | 3.73 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.89 | – |
Form
Chesham United – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Ware | 7–2 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Horsham | 4–1 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs Billericay Town | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Truro City | 1–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Dover | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ AFC Totton | 4–0 | W |
Maidenhead – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Ebbsfleet United | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Billericay Town | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Sep | vs Torquay | 0–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Dover | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs AFC Totton | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Chelmsford City | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesham United and Maidenhead.
National League South table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ebbsfleet United | 16 | +26 | 35 |
| 2 |  Maidstone Utd | 16 | +9 | 32 |
| 3 |  Truro City | 14 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 |  Farnham Town | 16 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 |  Salisbury | 14 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Dorking Wanderers | 15 | +11 | 27 |
| 7 |  Billericay Town | 14 | +16 | 26 |
| 8 |  Chelmsford City | 16 | +8 | 25 |
| 9 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 10 |  Tonbridge Angels | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 11 |  Horsham | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Dover | 14 | +1 | 22 |
| 13 |  Weston-super-Mare | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 14 | +5 | 20 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 15 | +4 | 20 |
| 16 |  AFC Totton | 16 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 16 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 |  Braintree | 15 | -16 | 16 |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Chesham United | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 16 | -18 | 10 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 15 | -25 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 16 | -22 | 7 |
More National League South predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chesham United vs Maidenhead?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Chesham United vs Maidenhead?
On our numbers Chesham United have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Maidenhead 33%.
How many goals will there be in Chesham United vs Maidenhead?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Chesham United vs Maidenhead?
Chesham United vs Maidenhead (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Meadow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.