National League South · England · Gallagher StadiumMaidstone Utd vs Truro City prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Maidstone Utd 1.3 – 1.3 Truro City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Maidstone Utd and Truro City on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Maidstone Utd have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Truro City have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 for Maidstone Utd, 1.3 for Truro City). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.35.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Truro City to win ✓ | 39% | 2.57 | 2.35 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.40 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.30 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Truro City / FT Truro City ✗ | 21% | 4.73 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.14 | – |
Form
Maidstone Utd – last 6
| 22 Sep | vs Cray Wanderers | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Cray Wanderers | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Braintree | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Sep | @ Tonbridge Angels | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Weston-super-Mare | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Hampton & Richmond | 4–1 | W |
Truro City – last 6
| 22 Sep | vs Merthyr Town | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Merthyr Town | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | vs Salisbury | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Walton & Hersham | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Sep | vs Leicester City U21 | 4–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Chesham United | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maidstone Utd and Truro City.
National League South table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ebbsfleet United | 16 | +26 | 35 |
| 2 |  Maidstone Utd | 16 | +9 | 32 |
| 3 |  Truro City | 14 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 |  Farnham Town | 16 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 |  Salisbury | 14 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Dorking Wanderers | 15 | +11 | 27 |
| 7 |  Billericay Town | 14 | +16 | 26 |
| 8 |  Chelmsford City | 16 | +8 | 25 |
| 9 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 10 |  Tonbridge Angels | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 11 |  Horsham | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Dover | 14 | +1 | 22 |
| 13 |  Weston-super-Mare | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 14 | +5 | 20 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 15 | +4 | 20 |
| 16 |  AFC Totton | 16 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 16 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 |  Braintree | 15 | -16 | 16 |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Chesham United | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 16 | -18 | 10 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 15 | -25 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 16 | -22 | 7 |
More National League South predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Maidstone Utd vs Truro City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Truro City?
On our numbers Maidstone Utd have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Truro City 39%.
How many goals will there be in Maidstone Utd vs Truro City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Maidstone Utd vs Truro City?
Maidstone Utd vs Truro City (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gallagher Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.