Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Hemel Hempstead Town to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHemel Hempstead Town to win ✓60% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.92
Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town preview and prediction
The match
Hemel Hempstead Town travel to Arbour Park in the National League South on Saturday 26 September (15:00 WAT) to face Slough Town. Slough Town are 24th with 7 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Hemel Hempstead Town sit 20th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Slough Town's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Chatham Town 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Hemel Hempstead Town's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Wingate & Finchley 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.1 for Slough Town and 1.9 for Hemel Hempstead Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Slough Town 24%, draw 16%, Hemel Hempstead Town 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Hemel Hempstead Town to win at 1.83 – 60% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Slough Town 1–1 Hemel Hempstead Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Slough Town24%fair 4.09 · @3.30
Draw16%fair 6.43 · @3.60
Hemel Hempstead Town60%fair 1.67 · @1.83
2.92Expected goals
1.05Slough Town xG
1.87Hemel Hempstead Town xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Slough Town 1.1 – 1.9 Hemel Hempstead Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hemel Hempstead Town to win✓
60%
1.67
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Half-time result
Hemel Hempstead Town ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hemel Hempstead Town / FT Hemel Hempstead Town✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.92
–
Form
Slough Town – last 6
LWLLLL
19 Sep
vs Chatham Town
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ AFC Totton
1–0
W
8 Sep
@ Salisbury
1–5
L
5 Sep
vs Braintree
1–2
L
31 Aug
@ Dagenham & Redbridge
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Folkestone Invicta
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6
LDDDDL
22 Sep
@ Wingate & Finchley
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Wingate & Finchley
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Tonbridge Angels
1–1
D
8 Sep
@ Ebbsfleet United
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Farnham Town
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Folkestone Invicta
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Slough Town and Hemel Hempstead Town.
What is the prediction for Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
On our numbers Slough Town have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Hemel Hempstead Town 60%.
How many goals will there be in Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our predicted score is Slough Town 1–1 Hemel Hempstead Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Arbour Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
