Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Torquay to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorquay to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers preview and prediction
The match
The National League South sees Torquay take on Dorking Wanderers on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Plainmoor. Torquay are 11th with 23 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Dorking Wanderers sit 6th on 27 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Torquay's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Maidenhead 4–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Dorking Wanderers's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Chelmsford City 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Dorking Wanderers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Torquay 4–2 Dorking Wanderers. Across their last 2 meetings Torquay have won 1, Dorking Wanderers 0, with 1 draw and 5.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Torquay and 1.1 for Dorking Wanderers. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 60%.
Our pre-match pick was Torquay to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Torquay 2–1 Dorking Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torquay62%fair 1.61 · @1.80
Draw16%fair 6.43 · @3.60
Dorking Wanderers22%fair 4.48 · @3.40
3.08Expected goals
2.01Torquay xG
1.07Dorking Wanderers xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Torquay 2.0 – 1.1 Dorking Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?
Our pick is Torquay to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?
On our numbers Torquay have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Dorking Wanderers 22%.
How many goals will there be in Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Torquay 2–1 Dorking Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?
Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Plainmoor.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
