Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels preview and prediction
The match
Hemel Hempstead Town host Tonbridge Angels in the National League South on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Focus Community Arena. Hemel Hempstead Town are 20th with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Tonbridge Angels sit 10th on 24 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Hemel Hempstead Town's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Ebbsfleet United 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Tonbridge Angels's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Maidstone Utd 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Tonbridge Angels arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.3 for Tonbridge Angels. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Hemel Hempstead Town 1–1 Tonbridge Angels. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hemel Hempstead Town41%fair 2.43 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.40
Tonbridge Angels36%fair 2.76 · @2.88
2.67Expected goals
1.39Hemel Hempstead Town xG
1.28Tonbridge Angels xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hemel Hempstead Town 1.4 – 1.3 Tonbridge Angels expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hemel Hempstead Town to win✗
41%
2.43
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hemel Hempstead Town / FT Hemel Hempstead Town✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.40
–
Form
Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6
DDLLWL
8 Sep
@ Ebbsfleet United
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Farnham Town
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Folkestone Invicta
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Weston-super-Mare
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Salisbury
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Maidenhead
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tonbridge Angels – last 6
LWWDLW
8 Sep
vs Maidstone Utd
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Farnborough
4–0
W
31 Aug
vs Walton & Hersham
5–1
W
29 Aug
@ Billericay Town
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Truro City
0–2
L
18 Aug
@ Dover
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hemel Hempstead Town and Tonbridge Angels.
What is the prediction for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels?
On our numbers Hemel Hempstead Town have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tonbridge Angels 36%.
How many goals will there be in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels?
Our predicted score is Hemel Hempstead Town 1–1 Tonbridge Angels, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels?
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Focus Community Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
