Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFarnborough to win ✗63% · @1.67
Double chanceFarnborough or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Farnborough vs Dover preview and prediction
The match
The National League South sees Farnborough take on Dover on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Saunders Transport Community Stadium. Farnborough are 17th with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Dover sit 12th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Farnborough's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Hampton & Richmond 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Dover's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Dagenham & Redbridge 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Farnborough and 1.0 for Dover. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Farnborough to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Farnborough 2–1 Dover. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Farnborough63%fair 1.60 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.80
Dover15%fair 6.71 · @3.90
3.20Expected goals
2.18Farnborough xG
1.01Dover xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Farnborough 2.2 – 1.0 Dover expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Farnborough to win✗
63%
1.60
1.67
Double chance
Farnborough or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Half-time result
Farnborough ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Farnborough / FT Farnborough✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Form
Farnborough – last 6
LLWDWL
8 Sep
@ Hampton & Richmond
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Tonbridge Angels
0–4
L
31 Aug
@ Braintree
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Maidenhead
1–1
D
19 Aug
vs Chesham United
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Hemel Hempstead Town
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Dover – last 6
WLDDWL
8 Sep
@ Dagenham & Redbridge
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Maidenhead
0–3
L
31 Aug
@ Chesham United
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Braintree
3–3
D
22 Aug
@ Weston-super-Mare
3–2
W
18 Aug
vs Tonbridge Angels
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Farnborough and Dover.
Our pick is Farnborough to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Farnborough vs Dover?
On our numbers Farnborough have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dover 15%.
How many goals will there be in Farnborough vs Dover?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Farnborough vs Dover?
Our predicted score is Farnborough 2–1 Dover, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Farnborough vs Dover?
Farnborough vs Dover (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Saunders Transport Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
