National League South · England · York RoadMaidenhead vs Billericay Town prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Maidenhead to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Maidenhead 1.8 – 1.0 Billericay Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Maidenhead are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 23% for Billericay Town.
Maidenhead have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Billericay Town have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 for Maidenhead, 1.0 for Billericay Town). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.29. For a bigger price, Maidenhead to win at 1.80 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Maidenhead to win ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.50 |
| Half-time result | Maidenhead ahead at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.39 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Maidenhead / FT Maidenhead ✗ | 36% | 2.77 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.80 | – |
Form
Maidenhead – last 6
| 8 Sep | vs Torquay | 0–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Dover | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs AFC Totton | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Chelmsford City | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Farnborough | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Aug | @ Hemel Hempstead Town | 1–0 | W |
Billericay Town – last 6
| 8 Sep | @ Chesham United | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Dorking Wanderers | 3–3 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ Salisbury | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Tonbridge Angels | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Farnham Town | 4–2 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ AFC Totton | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maidenhead and Billericay Town.
National League South table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ebbsfleet United | 16 | +26 | 35 |
| 2 |  Maidstone Utd | 16 | +9 | 32 |
| 3 |  Truro City | 14 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 |  Farnham Town | 16 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 |  Salisbury | 14 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Dorking Wanderers | 15 | +11 | 27 |
| 7 |  Billericay Town | 14 | +16 | 26 |
| 8 |  Chelmsford City | 16 | +8 | 25 |
| 9 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 10 |  Tonbridge Angels | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 11 |  Horsham | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Dover | 14 | +1 | 22 |
| 13 |  Weston-super-Mare | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 14 | +5 | 20 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 15 | +4 | 20 |
| 16 |  AFC Totton | 16 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 16 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 |  Braintree | 15 | -16 | 16 |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Chesham United | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 16 | -18 | 10 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 15 | -25 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 16 | -22 | 7 |
More National League South predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Maidenhead vs Billericay Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Billericay Town?
On our numbers Maidenhead have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Billericay Town 23%.
How many goals will there be in Maidenhead vs Billericay Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Maidenhead vs Billericay Town?
Maidenhead vs Billericay Town (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at York Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.