Maidenhead host Torquay in the National League South on Tuesday 8 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at York Road. Maidenhead are 18th with 16 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Torquay sit 11th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Maidenhead's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Dover 3–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Torquay's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Folkestone Invicta 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Maidenhead and 1.2 for Torquay. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 63%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Maidenhead 1–1 Torquay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maidenhead40%fair 2.49 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.55
Torquay37%fair 2.67 · @2.33
2.50Expected goals
1.28Maidenhead xG
1.22Torquay xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Maidenhead 1.3 – 1.2 Torquay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maidenhead to win✗
40%
2.49
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.53
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maidenhead / FT Maidenhead✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.55
–
Form
Maidenhead – last 6
WDLDWD
5 Sep
@ Dover
3–0
W
31 Aug
vs AFC Totton
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Chelmsford City
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Farnborough
1–1
D
18 Aug
@ Hemel Hempstead Town
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Dorking Wanderers
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Torquay – last 6
WLDLDW
5 Sep
vs Folkestone Invicta
3–2
W
31 Aug
@ Farnham Town
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Hampton & Richmond
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Dagenham & Redbridge
0–2
L
18 Aug
vs Weston-super-Mare
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Tonbridge Angels
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maidenhead and Torquay.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Torquay?
On our numbers Maidenhead have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Torquay 37%.
How many goals will there be in Maidenhead vs Torquay?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maidenhead vs Torquay?
Our predicted score is Maidenhead 1–1 Torquay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Maidenhead vs Torquay?
Maidenhead vs Torquay (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at York Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
