National League South · England · Victoria RoadDagenham & Redbridge vs Dover prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Dagenham & Redbridge 2.1 – 0.9 Dover expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Dagenham & Redbridge are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 12% for Dover.
Dagenham & Redbridge have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Dover have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 2.2 scored and 2.3 conceded. Dagenham & Redbridge come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.1 for Dagenham & Redbridge, 0.9 for Dover). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.27.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Dagenham & Redbridge to win ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Dagenham & Redbridge or draw ✗ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Dagenham & Redbridge ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Dagenham & Redbridge / FT Dagenham & Redbridge ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.97 | – |
Form
Dagenham & Redbridge – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Horsham | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Slough Town | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Truro City | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Torquay | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | @ Walton & Hersham | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | vs Farnham Town | 2–1 | W |
Dover – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Maidenhead | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | @ Chesham United | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Braintree | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Weston-super-Mare | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Aug | vs Tonbridge Angels | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Slough Town | 5–3 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dagenham & Redbridge and Dover.
National League South table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ebbsfleet United | 16 | +26 | 35 |
| 2 |  Maidstone Utd | 16 | +9 | 32 |
| 3 |  Truro City | 14 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 |  Farnham Town | 16 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 |  Salisbury | 14 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Dorking Wanderers | 15 | +11 | 27 |
| 7 |  Billericay Town | 14 | +16 | 26 |
| 8 |  Chelmsford City | 16 | +8 | 25 |
| 9 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 10 |  Tonbridge Angels | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 11 |  Horsham | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Dover | 14 | +1 | 22 |
| 13 |  Weston-super-Mare | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 14 | +5 | 20 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 15 | +4 | 20 |
| 16 |  AFC Totton | 16 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 16 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 |  Braintree | 15 | -16 | 16 |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Chesham United | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 16 | -18 | 10 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 15 | -25 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 16 | -22 | 7 |
More National League South predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Dover?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Dagenham & Redbridge vs Dover?
On our numbers Dagenham & Redbridge have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dover 12%.
How many goals will there be in Dagenham & Redbridge vs Dover?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Dagenham & Redbridge vs Dover?
Dagenham & Redbridge vs Dover (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.