Value bet: Ebbsfleet United to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEbbsfleet United to win ✗63% · @1.83
Double chanceEbbsfleet United or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.82
Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town preview and prediction
The match
The National League South sees Ebbsfleet United take on Hemel Hempstead Town on Tuesday 8 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stonebridge Road Stadium. Ebbsfleet United are 1st with 35 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Hemel Hempstead Town sit 20th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ebbsfleet United's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Walton & Hersham 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Hemel Hempstead Town's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Farnham Town 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Ebbsfleet United and 0.7 for Hemel Hempstead Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ebbsfleet United 63%, draw 21%, Hemel Hempstead Town 16%.
Safer route: Ebbsfleet United or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Ebbsfleet United to win at 1.83 – 63% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Ebbsfleet United 1–0 Hemel Hempstead Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ebbsfleet United63%fair 1.59 · @1.83
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.50
Hemel Hempstead Town16%fair 6.23 · @3.75
2.48Expected goals
1.75Ebbsfleet United xG
0.73Hemel Hempstead Town xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Ebbsfleet United 1.8 – 0.7 Hemel Hempstead Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ebbsfleet United to win✗
63%
1.59
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Ebbsfleet United or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Half-time result
Ebbsfleet United ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.82
–
Form
Ebbsfleet United – last 6
WLLWLW
5 Sep
@ Walton & Hersham
2–0
W
31 Jul
vs Gillingham
1–2
L
21 Jul
vs West Ham United U21
1–2
L
14 Jul
@ Aveley
4–1
W
7 Jul
@ Dartford
1–2
L
6 Apr
vs Dover
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6
DLLWLW
5 Sep
vs Farnham Town
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Folkestone Invicta
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Weston-super-Mare
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Salisbury
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Maidenhead
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Farnborough
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ebbsfleet United and Hemel Hempstead Town.
What is the prediction for Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
On our numbers Ebbsfleet United have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hemel Hempstead Town 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our predicted score is Ebbsfleet United 1–0 Hemel Hempstead Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stonebridge Road Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
