Chesham United vs Billericay Town prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Chesham United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Chesham United to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChesham United to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceChesham United or draw ✗86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.58
Chesham United vs Billericay Town preview and prediction
The match
The National League South sees Chesham United take on Billericay Town on Tuesday 8 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at The Meadow. Chesham United are 21st with 11 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Billericay Town sit 7th on 26 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chesham United's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Truro City 1–3 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Billericay Town's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Dorking Wanderers 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Chesham United and 1.0 for Billericay Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chesham United 61%, draw 25%, Billericay Town 14%.
Safer route: Chesham United or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Chesham United to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chesham United or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chesham United 2–0 Billericay Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chesham United61%fair 1.64 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
Billericay Town14%fair 7.20 · @3.60
3.03Expected goals
2.08Chesham United xG
0.95Billericay Town xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Chesham United 2.1 – 1.0 Billericay Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesham United to win✗
61%
1.64
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Chesham United or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.35
Half-time result
Chesham United ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesham United / FT Chesham United✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.58
–
Form
Chesham United – last 6
LDWWLL
5 Sep
@ Truro City
1–3
L
31 Aug
vs Dover
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ AFC Totton
4–0
W
22 Aug
vs Walton & Hersham
2–0
W
19 Aug
@ Farnborough
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Braintree
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Billericay Town – last 6
DLDWLW
5 Sep
vs Dorking Wanderers
3–3
D
31 Aug
@ Salisbury
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Tonbridge Angels
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Farnham Town
4–2
W
15 Aug
@ AFC Totton
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Dover
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesham United and Billericay Town.
What is the prediction for Chesham United vs Billericay Town?
Our pick is Chesham United or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chesham United vs Billericay Town?
On our numbers Chesham United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Billericay Town 14%.
How many goals will there be in Chesham United vs Billericay Town?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesham United vs Billericay Town?
Our predicted score is Chesham United 2–0 Billericay Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Chesham United vs Billericay Town?
Chesham United vs Billericay Town (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Meadow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
