Morecambe vs Darlington 1883 prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Morecambe or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Morecambe to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMorecambe to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceMorecambe or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 8.73
Morecambe vs Darlington 1883 preview and prediction
The match
The National League North sees Morecambe take on Darlington 1883 on Tuesday 27 October, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Mazuma Stadium. Morecambe are 9th with 23 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Darlington 1883 sit 22nd on 11 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Morecambe's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Merthyr Town 3–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Darlington 1883's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Spennymoor Town 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 October 2026, finished Morecambe 3–0 Darlington 1883.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Morecambe and 0.9 for Darlington 1883. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Morecambe to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Morecambe or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Morecambe 1–0 Darlington 1883. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Morecambe61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.60
Darlington 188315%fair 6.86 · @3.80
2.84Expected goals
1.96Morecambe xG
0.88Darlington 1883 xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Morecambe 2.0 – 0.9 Darlington 1883 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Morecambe vs Darlington 1883?
Our pick is Morecambe or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Morecambe vs Darlington 1883?
On our numbers Morecambe have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Darlington 1883 15%.
How many goals will there be in Morecambe vs Darlington 1883?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morecambe vs Darlington 1883?
Our predicted score is Morecambe 1–0 Darlington 1883, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Morecambe vs Darlington 1883?
Morecambe vs Darlington 1883 (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Mazuma Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
