National League North · England · Edgar StreetHereford vs AFC Telford United prediction & analysis
Hereford or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Hereford to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hereford 1.8 – 0.8 AFC Telford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Hereford are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 14% for AFC Telford United.
Hereford have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. AFC Telford United have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 2.8 conceded. Hereford come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 for Hereford, 0.8 for AFC Telford United). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Hereford or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Hereford to win at 1.83 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Hereford to win ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.83 ▲ |
| Double chance | Hereford or draw ✗ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.34 | – |
| Half-time result | Hereford ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Hereford / FT Hereford ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.18 | – |
Form
Hereford – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Macclesfield | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Hednesford Town | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Bedford Town | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Stafford Rangers | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs South Shields | 6–0 | W |
| 8 Sep | @ Harborough Town | 3–0 | W |
AFC Telford United – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Hebburn Town | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Darlington 1883 | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Chorley | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs King's Lynn Town | 0–5 | L |
| 22 Sep | @ Worksop Town | 2–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Worksop Town | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hereford and AFC Telford United.
National League North table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 14 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 15 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 |  Marine | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 15 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hereford vs AFC Telford United?
Our pick is Hereford or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hereford vs AFC Telford United?
On our numbers Hereford have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AFC Telford United 14%.
How many goals will there be in Hereford vs AFC Telford United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Hereford vs AFC Telford United?
Hereford vs AFC Telford United (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Edgar Street.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.