National League North · EnglandBuxton vs Harborough Town prediction & analysis
Buxton or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Buxton to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Buxton 1.9 – 0.9 Harborough Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Buxton are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 17% for Harborough Town.
Buxton have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. Harborough Town have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. Harborough Town come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.9 for Buxton, 0.9 for Harborough Town). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 62%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Buxton or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Buxton to win at 1.85 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Buxton to win ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Buxton or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.46 | – |
| Half-time result | Buxton ahead at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Buxton / FT Buxton ✓ | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.84 | – |
Form
Buxton – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Chorley | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Worksop Town | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ King's Lynn Town | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs South Shields | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ South Shields | 0–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Ashton United | 1–0 | W |
Harborough Town – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Worksop Town | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Spennymoor Town | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Southport | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs St Albans City | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Macclesfield | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Rushall Olympic | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buxton and Harborough Town.
National League North table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 14 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 15 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 |  Marine | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 15 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Buxton vs Harborough Town?
Our pick is Buxton or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Buxton vs Harborough Town?
On our numbers Buxton have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Harborough Town 17%.
How many goals will there be in Buxton vs Harborough Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Buxton vs Harborough Town?
Buxton vs Harborough Town (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.