Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOxford City to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Oxford City vs Morecambe preview and prediction
The match
Oxford City host Morecambe in the National League North on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at RAW Charging Stadium. Oxford City are 3rd with 28 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Morecambe sit 9th on 24 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Oxford City's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Dorchester Town 2–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Morecambe's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Southport 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Morecambe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Oxford City and 1.3 for Morecambe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oxford City 45%, draw 19%, Morecambe 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Oxford City 1–1 Morecambe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oxford City45%fair 2.24 · @2.05
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.60
Morecambe36%fair 2.77 · @2.88
2.73Expected goals
1.46Oxford City xG
1.27Morecambe xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Oxford City 1.5 – 1.3 Morecambe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oxford City to win✗
45%
2.24
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oxford City / FT Oxford City✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.52
–
Form
Oxford City – last 6
WWLWWL
19 Sep
@ Dorchester Town
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Radcliffe
3–0
W
8 Sep
@ AFC Telford United
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Chorley
4–0
W
31 Aug
@ Worksop Town
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Buxton
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Morecambe – last 6
WWLWWW
19 Sep
vs Southport
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Brackley Town
3–0
W
8 Sep
@ Southport
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Buxton
4–0
W
31 Aug
@ Chester
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs AFC Telford United
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oxford City and Morecambe.
What is the prediction for Oxford City vs Morecambe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Oxford City vs Morecambe?
On our numbers Oxford City have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Morecambe 36%.
How many goals will there be in Oxford City vs Morecambe?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oxford City vs Morecambe?
Our predicted score is Oxford City 1–1 Morecambe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Oxford City vs Morecambe?
Oxford City vs Morecambe (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at RAW Charging Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.