Hednesford Town vs Radcliffe prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Hednesford Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Hednesford Town to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHednesford Town to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chanceHednesford Town or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.76
Hednesford Town vs Radcliffe preview and prediction
The match
Hednesford Town host Radcliffe in the National League North on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Keys Park. Hednesford Town are 5th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Radcliffe sit 21st on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Hednesford Town's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Coventry United 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Radcliffe's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Marine 2–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Hednesford Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Hednesford Town and 0.9 for Radcliffe. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hednesford Town 64%, draw 22%, Radcliffe 14%.
Safer route: Hednesford Town or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Hednesford Town to win at 1.67 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hednesford Town or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hednesford Town 2–0 Radcliffe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hednesford Town64%fair 1.55 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.80
Radcliffe14%fair 7.41 · @4.00
2.94Expected goals
2.08Hednesford Town xG
0.86Radcliffe xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Hednesford Town 2.1 – 0.9 Radcliffe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hednesford Town to win✓
64%
1.55
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Hednesford Town or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Hednesford Town ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hednesford Town / FT Hednesford Town✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.76
–
Form
Hednesford Town – last 6
LLWLDW
19 Sep
vs Coventry United
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Hebburn Town
1–2
L
8 Sep
@ King's Lynn Town
3–2
W
5 Sep
vs South Shields
0–1
L
31 Aug
@ Spennymoor Town
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Harborough Town
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Radcliffe – last 6
LLWLLL
19 Sep
@ Marine
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Oxford City
0–3
L
8 Sep
vs Hebburn Town
5–1
W
5 Sep
@ Bedford Town
0–1
L
31 Aug
vs Darlington 1883
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Marine
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hednesford Town and Radcliffe.
What is the prediction for Hednesford Town vs Radcliffe?
Our pick is Hednesford Town or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hednesford Town vs Radcliffe?
On our numbers Hednesford Town have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Radcliffe 14%.
How many goals will there be in Hednesford Town vs Radcliffe?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hednesford Town vs Radcliffe?
Our predicted score is Hednesford Town 2–0 Radcliffe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Hednesford Town vs Radcliffe?
Hednesford Town vs Radcliffe (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Keys Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
