National League North · England · Deva StadiumChester vs Worksop Town prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Chester 1.8 – 0.7 Worksop Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Chester are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 13% for Worksop Town.
Chester have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Worksop Town have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. Worksop Town come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.8 for Chester, 0.7 for Worksop Town). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.37.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Chester to win ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | Chester or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | 2.00 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Chester ahead at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Chester / FT Chester ✓ | 39% | 2.54 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.57 | – |
Form
Chester – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Lower Breck | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Buxton | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Merthyr Town | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Hebburn Town | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Morecambe | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Hereford | 1–1 | D |
Worksop Town – last 6
| 22 Sep | vs AFC Telford United | 5–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ AFC Telford United | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Southport | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs Bedford Town | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Marine | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs Oxford City | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chester and Worksop Town.
National League North table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 14 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 15 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 |  Marine | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 15 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chester vs Worksop Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Chester vs Worksop Town?
On our numbers Chester have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Worksop Town 13%.
How many goals will there be in Chester vs Worksop Town?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Chester vs Worksop Town?
Chester vs Worksop Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Deva Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.