Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: Worksop Town to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultWorksop Town to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceWorksop Town or draw ✓84% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.09
Worksop Town vs Southport preview and prediction
The match
Southport travel to Sandy Lane Stadium in the National League North on Saturday 12 September (15:00 WAT) to face Worksop Town. Worksop Town are 14th with 20 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Southport sit 23rd on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Worksop Town's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Bedford Town 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Southport's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Morecambe 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Southport arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Worksop Town and 0.9 for Southport. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Worksop Town 61%, draw 23%, Southport 16%.
Safer route: Worksop Town or draw (84%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Worksop Town to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Worksop Town or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Worksop Town 1–0 Southport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Worksop Town61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
Southport16%fair 6.15 · @3.40
2.88Expected goals
1.96Worksop Town xG
0.92Southport xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Worksop Town 2.0 – 0.9 Southport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Worksop Town to win✓
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Worksop Town or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Worksop Town ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Worksop Town / FT Worksop Town✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.09
–
Form
Worksop Town – last 6
LWLLLL
8 Sep
vs Bedford Town
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Marine
1–0
W
31 Aug
vs Oxford City
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Spalding United
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Hereford
0–3
L
18 Aug
@ Hebburn Town
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Southport – last 6
WLLLWD
8 Sep
vs Morecambe
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Spalding United
0–2
L
31 Aug
vs Hereford
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Scarborough Athletic
1–5
L
22 Aug
vs Bedford Town
4–1
W
18 Aug
@ Hednesford Town
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Worksop Town and Southport.
What is the prediction for Worksop Town vs Southport?
Our pick is Worksop Town or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Worksop Town vs Southport?
On our numbers Worksop Town have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Southport 16%.
How many goals will there be in Worksop Town vs Southport?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Worksop Town vs Southport?
Our predicted score is Worksop Town 1–0 Southport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Worksop Town vs Southport?
Worksop Town vs Southport (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sandy Lane Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
