National League North · England · The SilverlandsBuxton vs Chester prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Buxton 1.3 – 1.3 Chester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Buxton and Chester on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Buxton have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. Chester have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 0.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 for Buxton, 1.3 for Chester). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.71.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Chester to win ✗ | 39% | 2.59 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.34 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.30 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Chester / FT Chester ✗ | 21% | 4.66 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.00 | – |
Form
Buxton – last 6
| 8 Sep | vs Brackley Town | 5–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Morecambe | 0–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Merthyr Town | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Oxford City | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Hebburn Town | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Aug | @ Bedford Town | 1–2 | L |
Chester – last 6
| 8 Sep | vs Merthyr Town | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Hebburn Town | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Morecambe | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Hereford | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Spalding United | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | @ Darlington 1883 | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buxton and Chester.
National League North table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 14 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 15 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 |  Marine | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 15 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Buxton vs Chester?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Buxton vs Chester?
On our numbers Buxton have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chester 39%.
How many goals will there be in Buxton vs Chester?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Buxton vs Chester?
Buxton vs Chester (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Silverlands.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.