National League North · England · The Mazuma StadiumMorecambe vs Brackley Town prediction & analysis
Morecambe or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Morecambe to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Morecambe 1.7 – 0.8 Brackley Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Morecambe hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 17% for Brackley Town.
Morecambe have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. Brackley Town have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.0 conceded. Morecambe come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Morecambe, 0.8 for Brackley Town). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Morecambe or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Morecambe to win at 1.91 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Morecambe to win ✓ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Morecambe or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.87 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Morecambe / FT Morecambe ✓ | 36% | 2.76 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.33 | – |
Form
Morecambe – last 6
| 8 Sep | @ Southport | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Buxton | 4–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Chester | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs AFC Telford United | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Radcliffe | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Aug | vs South Shields | 0–1 | L |
Brackley Town – last 6
| 8 Sep | @ Buxton | 0–5 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Harborough Town | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Chorley | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Macclesfield | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Aug | vs King's Lynn Town | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Hebburn Town | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morecambe and Brackley Town.
National League North table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 14 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 15 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 |  Marine | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 15 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Morecambe vs Brackley Town?
Our pick is Morecambe or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Morecambe vs Brackley Town?
On our numbers Morecambe have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Brackley Town 17%.
How many goals will there be in Morecambe vs Brackley Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Morecambe vs Brackley Town?
Morecambe vs Brackley Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Mazuma Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.