National League North · England · Edgar StreetHereford vs South Shields prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Hereford to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hereford 1.1 – 1.1 South Shields expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Hereford and South Shields on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Hereford have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.3 per game. South Shields have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.1 for Hereford, 1.1 for South Shields). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.79. For a bigger price, Hereford to win at 2.88 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | South Shields to win ✗ | 39% | 2.53 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 20% | 4.92 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.81 | – |
Form
Hereford – last 6
| 8 Sep | @ Harborough Town | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Spennymoor Town | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Southport | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Chester | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Worksop Town | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | vs Radcliffe | 3–0 | W |
South Shields – last 6
| 8 Sep | vs Marine | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Hednesford Town | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs Spalding United | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Merthyr Town | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Aug | @ Morecambe | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Chorley | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hereford and South Shields.
National League North table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 14 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 15 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 |  Marine | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 15 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hereford vs South Shields?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Hereford vs South Shields?
On our numbers Hereford have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and South Shields 39%.
How many goals will there be in Hereford vs South Shields?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Hereford vs South Shields?
Hereford vs South Shields (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Edgar Street.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.