Spalding United vs Bedford Town prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Spalding United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Spalding United to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpalding United to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceSpalding United or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.54
Spalding United vs Bedford Town preview and prediction
The match
The National League North sees Spalding United take on Bedford Town on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Sir Halley Stewart Playing Field. Spalding United are 12th with 21 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Bedford Town sit 10th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Spalding United's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Spennymoor Town 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Bedford Town's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Worksop Town 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Bedford Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Spalding United and 0.7 for Bedford Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spalding United 62%, draw 25%, Bedford Town 13%.
Safer route: Spalding United or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Spalding United to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Spalding United or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Spalding United 1–0 Bedford Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spalding United62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.25
Bedford Town13%fair 7.81 · @3.75
2.44Expected goals
1.76Spalding United xG
0.68Bedford Town xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Spalding United 1.8 – 0.7 Bedford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spalding United to win✓
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Spalding United or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Spalding United ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spalding United / FT Spalding United✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.54
–
Form
Spalding United – last 6
WWDWLD
8 Sep
@ Spennymoor Town
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Southport
2–0
W
31 Aug
@ South Shields
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Worksop Town
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Chester
0–1
L
18 Aug
vs Macclesfield
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bedford Town – last 6
WWWWLW
8 Sep
@ Worksop Town
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Radcliffe
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ AFC Telford United
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Spennymoor Town
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Southport
1–4
L
18 Aug
vs Buxton
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spalding United and Bedford Town.
What is the prediction for Spalding United vs Bedford Town?
Our pick is Spalding United or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Spalding United vs Bedford Town?
On our numbers Spalding United have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bedford Town 13%.
How many goals will there be in Spalding United vs Bedford Town?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spalding United vs Bedford Town?
Our predicted score is Spalding United 1–0 Bedford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Spalding United vs Bedford Town?
Spalding United vs Bedford Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sir Halley Stewart Playing Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
