Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpalding United to win ✓39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.46
Spalding United vs Worksop Town preview and prediction
The match
The National League North sees Spalding United take on Worksop Town on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Sir Halley Stewart Playing Field. Spalding United are 12th with 21 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Worksop Town sit 14th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Spalding United's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Chester 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Worksop Town's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Hereford 0–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Worksop Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Spalding United and 1.1 for Worksop Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spalding United 39%, draw 23%, Worksop Town 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Spalding United 1–1 Worksop Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spalding United39%fair 2.56 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
Worksop Town38%fair 2.61 · @2.70
2.27Expected goals
1.14Spalding United xG
1.13Worksop Town xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Spalding United 1.1 – 1.1 Worksop Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spalding United to win✓
39%
2.56
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spalding United / FT Spalding United✓
20%
4.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.46
–
Form
Spalding United – last 6
LDLWDW
22 Aug
@ Chester
0–1
L
18 Aug
vs Macclesfield
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Oxford City
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Radcliffe
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Scunthorpe
2–2
D
29 Apr
vs Halesowen Town
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Worksop Town – last 6
LLWWWW
22 Aug
vs Hereford
0–3
L
18 Aug
@ Hebburn Town
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs AFC Telford United
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Darlington 1883
2–1
W
28 Jul
vs Mickleover Sports
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Garforth Town
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spalding United and Worksop Town.
What is the prediction for Spalding United vs Worksop Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Spalding United vs Worksop Town?
On our numbers Spalding United have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Worksop Town 38%.
How many goals will there be in Spalding United vs Worksop Town?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spalding United vs Worksop Town?
Our predicted score is Spalding United 1–1 Worksop Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Spalding United vs Worksop Town?
Spalding United vs Worksop Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sir Halley Stewart Playing Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
