National League North · England · Mounting Systems StadiumScarborough Athletic vs Southport prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Scarborough Athletic to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Scarborough Athletic 2.0 – 1.3 Southport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Scarborough Athletic hold the edge on home soil with a 56% chance of winning, against 26% for Southport.
Scarborough Athletic have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Southport have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.0 for Scarborough Athletic, 1.3 for Southport). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (8%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.25. For a bigger price, Scarborough Athletic to win at 1.90 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Scarborough Athletic to win ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 82% | 1.23 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Scarborough Athletic ahead at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Scarborough Athletic / FT Scarborough Athletic ✓ | 34% | 2.93 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.34 | – |
Form
Scarborough Athletic – last 6
| 22 Aug | @ Chorley | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Aug | vs Spennymoor Town | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Hednesford Town | 4–3 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs South Shields | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Aug | @ Harrogate Town | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jul | vs Barnsley | 0–2 | L |
Southport – last 6
| 22 Aug | vs Bedford Town | 4–1 | W |
| 18 Aug | @ Hednesford Town | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Buxton | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ Hebburn Town | 1–3 | L |
| 31 Jul | vs Wigan | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Jul | vs United of Manchester | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Scarborough Athletic and Southport.
National League North table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 14 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 15 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 |  Marine | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 15 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Scarborough Athletic vs Southport?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Scarborough Athletic vs Southport?
On our numbers Scarborough Athletic have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Southport 26%.
How many goals will there be in Scarborough Athletic vs Southport?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Scarborough Athletic vs Southport?
Scarborough Athletic vs Southport (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mounting Systems Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.