National League North · England · Edgar StreetHereford vs Chester prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hereford 1.1 – 1.3 Chester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Chester shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 36% for Hereford.
Hereford have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.5 per game. Chester have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.1 for Hereford, 1.3 for Chester). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Hereford have won 1, Chester have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 7.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.40.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Chester to win ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.74 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.94 | 2.00 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Chester / FT Chester ✗ | 23% | 4.28 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 8.89 | – |
Form
Hereford – last 6
| 22 Aug | @ Worksop Town | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | vs Radcliffe | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Marine | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Buxton | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | @ Bromsgrove Sporting | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jul | vs Shrewsbury | 1–1 | D |
Chester – last 6
| 22 Aug | vs Spalding United | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | @ Darlington 1883 | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs King's Lynn Town | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Chorley | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Crewe | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Jul | @ Nantwich Town | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
| 24 Feb 2026 | Hereford v Chester | 5–2 |
National League North table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 14 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 15 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 |  Marine | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 15 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hereford vs Chester?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Hereford vs Chester?
On our numbers Hereford have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chester 44%.
How many goals will there be in Hereford vs Chester?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Hereford vs Chester?
Hereford vs Chester (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Edgar Street.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.