Value bet: Muğlaspor to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSivasspor to win ✗42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.20
Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor preview and prediction
The match
Sivasspor host Muğlaspor in the 1. Lig on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Sivasspor are 18th with 13 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Muğlaspor sit 11th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sivasspor's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Antalyaspor 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Muğlaspor's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Vanspor FK 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Muğlaspor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Sivasspor and 1.0 for Muğlaspor. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Value angle: Muğlaspor to win at 3.50 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Sivasspor 1–1 Muğlaspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sivasspor42%fair 2.39 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.25
Muğlaspor34%fair 2.91 · @3.50
2.08Expected goals
1.11Sivasspor xG
0.97Muğlaspor xG
54%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sivasspor 1.1 – 1.0 Muğlaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sivasspor to win✗
42%
2.39
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sivasspor / FT Sivasspor✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.20
–
Form
Sivasspor – last 6
WDLDLD
6 Sep
@ Antalyaspor
2–1
W
2 Sep
vs Mardin 1969
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Batman Petrolspor
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs Manisa F.K.
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Kayserispor
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Esenler Erokspor
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Muğlaspor – last 6
DWWDDL
6 Sep
vs Vanspor FK
2–2
D
1 Sep
@ Ümraniyespor
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Boluspor
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Bodrum FK
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Bandırmaspor
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Sarıyer
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sivasspor and Muğlaspor.
What is the prediction for Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor?
On our numbers Sivasspor have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Muğlaspor 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor?
Our predicted score is Sivasspor 1–1 Muğlaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor?
Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
