Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K. prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Fatih Karagümrük or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Fatih Karagümrük to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFatih Karagümrük to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceFatih Karagümrük or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K. preview and prediction
The match
Fatih Karagümrük host Manisa F.K. in the 1. Lig on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Yusuf Ziya Onis. Fatih Karagümrük are 9th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Manisa F.K. sit 17th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Fatih Karagümrük's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Batman Petrolspor 3–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Manisa F.K.'s last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Bursaspor 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Fatih Karagümrük and 1.1 for Manisa F.K.. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fatih Karagümrük 62%, draw 22%, Manisa F.K. 16%.
Safer route: Fatih Karagümrük or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Fatih Karagümrük to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fatih Karagümrük or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Manisa F.K.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fatih Karagümrük62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.40
Manisa F.K.16%fair 6.08 · @3.60
3.33Expected goals
2.23Fatih Karagümrük xG
1.10Manisa F.K. xG
59%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Fatih Karagümrük 2.2 – 1.1 Manisa F.K. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fatih Karagümrük to win✗
62%
1.62
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Fatih Karagümrük or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Fatih Karagümrük ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fatih Karagümrük / FT Fatih Karagümrük✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Form
Fatih Karagümrük – last 6
LDDWWL
6 Sep
@ Batman Petrolspor
3–4
L
2 Sep
vs Kayserispor
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ İstanbulspor
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Bursaspor
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Ümraniyespor
2–1
W
9 Aug
@ Iğdır FK
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Manisa F.K. – last 6
LLDDWW
7 Sep
vs Bursaspor
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Iğdır FK
2–4
L
30 Aug
vs Bodrum FK
0–0
D
24 Aug
@ Sivasspor
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Vanspor FK
4–1
W
7 Aug
@ Boluspor
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fatih Karagümrük and Manisa F.K..
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K.?
Our pick is Fatih Karagümrük or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K.?
On our numbers Fatih Karagümrük have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Manisa F.K. 16%.
How many goals will there be in Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K.?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K.?
Our predicted score is Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Manisa F.K., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K.?
Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K. (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Yusuf Ziya Onis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
