Value bet: Mardin 1969 to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMardin 1969 to win ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.99
Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969 preview and prediction
The match
Iğdır FK host Mardin 1969 in the 1. Lig on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Iğdır FK are 3rd with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Mardin 1969 sit 4th on 25 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Iğdır FK's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat İstanbulspor 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Mardin 1969's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Bodrum FK 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Iğdır FK and 1.1 for Mardin 1969. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Iğdır FK 37%, draw 24%, Mardin 1969 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Mardin 1969 to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Iğdır FK 1–1 Mardin 1969. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Iğdır FK37%fair 2.69 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.10
Mardin 196938%fair 2.61 · @2.90
2.17Expected goals
1.07Iğdır FK xG
1.10Mardin 1969 xG
57%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Iğdır FK 1.1 – 1.1 Mardin 1969 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mardin 1969 to win✗
38%
2.61
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mardin 1969 / FT Mardin 1969✗
20%
4.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.99
–
Form
Iğdır FK – last 6
WWWLLW
7 Sep
@ İstanbulspor
2–1
W
3 Sep
vs Manisa F.K.
4–2
W
30 Aug
@ Esenler Erokspor
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Kayserispor
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Bursaspor
0–1
L
9 Aug
vs Fatih Karagümrük
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mardin 1969 – last 6
WDDWWD
7 Sep
vs Bodrum FK
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Sivasspor
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Vanspor FK
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Boluspor
3–0
W
16 Aug
vs Antalyaspor
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Ümraniyespor
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iğdır FK and Mardin 1969.
What is the prediction for Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969?
On our numbers Iğdır FK have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mardin 1969 38%.
How many goals will there be in Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969?
Our predicted score is Iğdır FK 1–1 Mardin 1969, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969?
Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969 (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
