Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Bursaspor or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Bursaspor to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBursaspor to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceBursaspor or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.90
Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor preview and prediction
The match
Esenler Erokspor travel to Timsah Park in the 1. Lig on Sunday 13 September (18:00 WAT) to face Bursaspor. Bursaspor are 1st with 32 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Esenler Erokspor sit 10th on 18 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bursaspor's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Manisa F.K. 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Esenler Erokspor's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Kayserispor 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Bursaspor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Bursaspor and 0.5 for Esenler Erokspor. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Value angle: Bursaspor to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bursaspor or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bursaspor 1–0 Esenler Erokspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bursaspor64%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.70
Esenler Erokspor14%fair 7.23 · @3.90
2.00Expected goals
1.51Bursaspor xG
0.49Esenler Erokspor xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Bursaspor 1.5 – 0.5 Esenler Erokspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bursaspor to win✗
64%
1.55
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Bursaspor or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bursaspor / FT Bursaspor✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.90
–
Form
Bursaspor – last 6
WWWLWW
7 Sep
@ Manisa F.K.
2–1
W
3 Sep
vs İstanbulspor
4–0
W
29 Aug
@ Kayserispor
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Iğdır FK
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Bodrum FK
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Esenler Erokspor – last 6
LDLDDD
7 Sep
vs Kayserispor
0–3
L
3 Sep
@ Bodrum FK
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Iğdır FK
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Ümraniyespor
1–1
D
14 Aug
vs Sarıyer
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Sivasspor
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bursaspor and Esenler Erokspor.
What is the prediction for Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
Our pick is Bursaspor or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
On our numbers Bursaspor have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Esenler Erokspor 14%.
How many goals will there be in Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
Our predicted score is Bursaspor 1–0 Esenler Erokspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Timsah Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
