National League · England · Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster Harriers vs FC Halifax Town prediction & analysis

75%

Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating

1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Halifax Town to win40% · @2.50

Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–110% · fair 10.46

Win chances

Kidderminster Harriers37%fair 2.70 · @2.50

Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.40

FC Halifax Town40%fair 2.49 · @2.50

2.66Expected goals

1.29Kidderminster Harriers xG

1.36FC Halifax Town xG

58%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

0–110%

1–09%

1–28%

2–18%

0–07%

From our goals model: Kidderminster Harriers 1.3 – 1.4 FC Halifax Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Kidderminster Harriers and FC Halifax Town on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Kidderminster Harriers have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. FC Halifax Town have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.

We expect around 2.7 goals (1.3 for Kidderminster Harriers, 1.4 for FC Halifax Town). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.34.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FC Halifax Town to win	40%	2.49	2.50
Double chance	Either team to win	77%	1.29	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	58%	1.72	1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	75%	1.34	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.96	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	71%	1.42	1.36
Half-time result	Level at half-time	43%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FC Halifax Town / FT FC Halifax Town	22%	4.47	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1	10%	10.46	–

Form

Kidderminster Harriers – last 6

WLDLWD

7 Nov	vs Doncaster	3–0	W
31 Oct	@ Solihull Moors	1–2	L
27 Oct	@ Altrincham	0–0	D
24 Oct	vs Worthing	1–2	L
17 Oct	vs Solihull Moors	2–1	W
10 Oct	@ Carlisle	0–0	D

1.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

FC Halifax Town – last 6

LLWLDW

7 Nov	@ Cheltenham	0–2	L
3 Nov	vs Nottingham Forest U21	3–4	L
31 Oct	vs Yeovil Town	2–0	W
27 Oct	vs Barrow	2–3	L
24 Oct	@ Southend	2–2	D
17 Oct	vs South Shields	3–2	W

2.0Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kidderminster Harriers and FC Halifax Town.

National League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	16	14	2	0	+27	44
2	Harrogate Town	16	10	2	4	+11	32
3	Southend	16	8	5	3	+11	29
4	AFC Fylde	16	9	2	5	+6	29
5	Yeovil Town	16	8	4	4	+15	28
6	Worthing	16	8	4	4	+7	28
7	Altrincham	16	9	1	6	0	28
8	Carlisle	16	7	5	4	+9	26
9	Barrow	15	7	4	4	+7	25
10	FC Halifax Town	16	7	3	6	+8	24
11	Sutton Utd	16	7	3	6	-1	24
12	Woking	16	6	3	7	+1	21
13	Kidderminster Harriers	16	5	6	5	+1	21
14	Aldershot Town	16	6	3	7	0	21
15	AFC Hornchurch	16	7	0	9	-8	21
16	Forest Green	14	5	4	5	-1	19
17	Eastleigh	16	5	4	7	-6	19
18	Wealdstone	16	5	3	8	-6	18
19	Boston United	16	5	3	8	-8	18
20	Tamworth	15	5	2	8	-7	17
21	Hartlepool	16	5	0	11	-9	15
22	Solihull Moors	16	4	1	11	-21	13
23	Scunthorpe	15	3	1	11	-11	10
24	Gateshead	15	1	1	13	-25	4

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