National League · England · Gateshead International StadiumGateshead vs Barrow prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gateshead 0.9 – 2.0 Barrow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Barrow travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 17% for Gateshead.
Gateshead have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.7 per game. Barrow have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. Barrow come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (0.9 for Gateshead, 2.0 for Barrow). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (11%), 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.29.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Barrow to win | 64% | 1.55 | 1.48 |
| Double chance | Barrow or draw | 83% | 1.20 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 59% | 1.70 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Barrow ahead at half-time | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Barrow / FT Barrow | 41% | 2.45 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 | 11% | 9.02 | – |
Form
Gateshead – last 6
| 3 Nov | vs Stoke City U21 | 3–1 | W |
| 31 Oct | @ Aldershot Town | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Oct | @ Boston United | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | @ Stafford Rangers | 0–5 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Stafford Rangers | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Oct | vs Wolves U21 | 0–0 | D |
Barrow – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Gillingham | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | vs Eastleigh | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Oct | @ FC Halifax Town | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Oct | @ Gloucester City | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Gloucester City | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Tamworth | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gateshead and Barrow.
National League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Southend | 16 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 |  Yeovil Town | 16 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Worthing | 16 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Altrincham | 16 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 |  AFC Hornchurch | 16 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | -25 | 4 |
More National League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gateshead vs Barrow?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gateshead vs Barrow?
On our numbers Gateshead have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Barrow 64%.
How many goals will there be in Gateshead vs Barrow?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Gateshead vs Barrow?
Gateshead vs Barrow (National League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Gateshead International Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.