National League · England · Roots HallSouthend vs AFC Fylde prediction & analysis
Southend to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Southend 2.3 – 1.3 AFC Fylde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Southend are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 23% for AFC Fylde.
Southend have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.8 per game. AFC Fylde have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.6 goals (2.3 for Southend, 1.3 for AFC Fylde). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 2–0 (7%).
Our pick is Southend to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Southend to win ✓ | 62% | 1.60 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.44 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Half-time result | Southend ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Southend / FT Southend ✓ | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.62 | – |
Form
Southend – last 6
| 30 Sep | @ Eastleigh | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Barrow | 2–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Gateshead | 6–1 | W |
| 15 Sep | vs Tamworth | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Carlisle | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Yeovil Town | 3–2 | W |
AFC Fylde – last 6
| 29 Sep | vs Carlisle | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Boston United | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Altrincham | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | @ Harrogate Town | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Yeovil Town | 4–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Worthing | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southend and AFC Fylde.
National League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Southend | 16 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 |  Yeovil Town | 16 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Worthing | 16 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Altrincham | 16 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 |  AFC Hornchurch | 16 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | -25 | 4 |
More National League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Southend vs AFC Fylde?
Our pick is Southend to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Southend vs AFC Fylde?
On our numbers Southend have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 15% and AFC Fylde 23%.
How many goals will there be in Southend vs AFC Fylde?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Southend vs AFC Fylde?
Southend vs AFC Fylde (National League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Roots Hall.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.