National League · England · Exercise StadiumHarrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Harrogate Town 2.1 – 1.1 AFC Hornchurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Harrogate Town are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 18% for AFC Hornchurch.
Harrogate Town have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. AFC Hornchurch have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.1 for Harrogate Town, 1.1 for AFC Hornchurch). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.67.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Harrogate Town to win ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.53 |
| Double chance | Harrogate Town or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | – |
| Half-time result | Harrogate Town ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Harrogate Town / FT Harrogate Town ✓ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.13 | – |
Form
Harrogate Town – last 6
| 29 Sep | @ Hartlepool | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Eastleigh | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Boreham Wood | 1–4 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs AFC Fylde | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Tamworth | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Scunthorpe | 2–0 | W |
AFC Hornchurch – last 6
| 29 Sep | vs Aldershot Town | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Altrincham | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Scunthorpe | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | @ Worthing | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ FC Halifax Town | 0–3 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Ipswich Town U21 | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harrogate Town and AFC Hornchurch.
National League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Southend | 16 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 |  Yeovil Town | 16 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Worthing | 16 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Altrincham | 16 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 |  AFC Hornchurch | 16 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | -25 | 4 |
More National League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch?
On our numbers Harrogate Town have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AFC Hornchurch 18%.
How many goals will there be in Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch?
Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch (National League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Exercise Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.