National League · England · Holker StreetBarrow vs Wealdstone prediction & analysis
Barrow or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Barrow to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Barrow 2.0 – 0.9 Wealdstone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Barrow are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 17% for Wealdstone.
Barrow have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Wealdstone have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.0 for Barrow, 0.9 for Wealdstone). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Barrow or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.20. For a bigger price, Barrow to win at 1.75 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Barrow to win ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Barrow or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Half-time result | Barrow ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Barrow / FT Barrow ✗ | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.25 | – |
Form
Barrow – last 6
| 29 Sep | vs Scunthorpe | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Southend | 4–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Aldershot Town | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | @ Solihull Moors | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Worthing | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Sutton Utd | 3–0 | W |
Wealdstone – last 6
| 29 Sep | @ Forest Green | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Gateshead | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Tamworth | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs FC Halifax Town | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Boston United | 3–1 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs Stoke City U21 | 6–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barrow and Wealdstone.
National League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Southend | 16 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 |  Yeovil Town | 16 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Worthing | 16 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Altrincham | 16 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 |  AFC Hornchurch | 16 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | -25 | 4 |
More National League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Barrow vs Wealdstone?
Our pick is Barrow or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Barrow vs Wealdstone?
On our numbers Barrow have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Wealdstone 17%.
How many goals will there be in Barrow vs Wealdstone?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Barrow vs Wealdstone?
Barrow vs Wealdstone (National League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Holker Street.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.