Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarlisle to win ✓65% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.41
Aldershot Town vs Carlisle preview and prediction
The match
Carlisle travel to EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground in the National League on Saturday 3 October (15:00 WAT) to face Aldershot Town. Aldershot Town are 14th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Carlisle sit 8th on 26 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Aldershot Town's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to AFC Hornchurch 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Carlisle's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat AFC Fylde 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 March 2026, finished Aldershot Town 0–2 Carlisle.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Aldershot Town and 2.0 for Carlisle. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aldershot Town 19%, draw 15%, Carlisle 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Carlisle to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aldershot Town 0–2 Carlisle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aldershot Town19%fair 5.13 · @3.40
Draw15%fair 6.53 · @3.80
Carlisle65%fair 1.53 · @1.85
2.95Expected goals
0.93Aldershot Town xG
2.02Carlisle xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Aldershot Town 0.9 – 2.0 Carlisle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aldershot Town vs Carlisle?
Our pick is Carlisle to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Aldershot Town vs Carlisle?
On our numbers Aldershot Town have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Carlisle 65%.
How many goals will there be in Aldershot Town vs Carlisle?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aldershot Town vs Carlisle?
Our predicted score is Aldershot Town 0–2 Carlisle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Aldershot Town vs Carlisle?
Aldershot Town vs Carlisle (National League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
