Value bet: Hartlepool to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHartlepool to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceHartlepool or draw ✗86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Hartlepool vs Eastleigh preview and prediction
The match
Eastleigh travel to Victoria Park in the National League on Friday 28 August (19:45 WAT) to face Hartlepool. Hartlepool are 21st with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Eastleigh sit 17th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Hartlepool's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Sutton Utd 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Eastleigh's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Scunthorpe 3–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Hartlepool arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Hartlepool and 0.7 for Eastleigh. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Hartlepool to win at 1.73 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Hartlepool 2–0 Eastleigh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hartlepool64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.45
Eastleigh14%fair 7.27 · @4.20
2.62Expected goals
1.88Hartlepool xG
0.74Eastleigh xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.9 – 0.7 Eastleigh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartlepool to win✗
64%
1.57
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Hartlepool or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Half-time result
Hartlepool ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartlepool / FT Hartlepool✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Form
Hartlepool – last 6
LWLWWL
22 Aug
@ Sutton Utd
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Aldershot Town
1–0
W
11 Aug
vs Middlesbrough U21
0–10
L
8 Aug
vs Barrow
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Fleetwood Town
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Grimsby
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Eastleigh – last 6
WLWLLL
22 Aug
vs Scunthorpe
3–2
W
15 Aug
@ Kidderminster Harriers
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Gateshead
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Farnham Town
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Crawley Town
0–1
L
22 Jul
vs Valenciennes
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and Eastleigh.
What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs Eastleigh?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Eastleigh?
On our numbers Hartlepool have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Eastleigh 14%.
How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Eastleigh?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Eastleigh?
Our predicted score is Hartlepool 2–0 Eastleigh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hartlepool vs Eastleigh?
Hartlepool vs Eastleigh (National League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
