Value bet: Barrow to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarrow to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Barrow vs Yeovil Town preview and prediction
The match
Yeovil Town travel to Holker Street in the National League on Friday 28 August (19:45 WAT) to face Barrow. Barrow are 9th with 25 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Yeovil Town sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Barrow's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Harrogate Town 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Yeovil Town's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Gateshead 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Barrow and 0.8 for Yeovil Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barrow 60%, draw 20%, Yeovil Town 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Barrow to win at 1.83 – 60% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Barrow 1–0 Yeovil Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barrow60%fair 1.65 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.30
Yeovil Town20%fair 5.05 · @4.00
2.58Expected goals
1.74Barrow xG
0.84Yeovil Town xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Barrow 1.7 – 0.8 Yeovil Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barrow to win✗
60%
1.65
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barrow / FT Barrow✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Form
Barrow – last 6
DLLWWD
22 Aug
@ Harrogate Town
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs AFC Hornchurch
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Hartlepool
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Morecambe
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Blackpool
2–0
W
21 Jul
@ Radcliffe
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Yeovil Town – last 6
WDDLDL
22 Aug
vs Gateshead
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Carlisle
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Scunthorpe
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Newport County
1–2
L
28 Jul
@ Farnham Town
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Wycombe
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barrow and Yeovil Town.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Barrow vs Yeovil Town?
On our numbers Barrow have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Yeovil Town 20%.
How many goals will there be in Barrow vs Yeovil Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barrow vs Yeovil Town?
Our predicted score is Barrow 1–0 Yeovil Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Barrow vs Yeovil Town?
Barrow vs Yeovil Town (National League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Holker Street.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
