Aldershot Town vs Harrogate Town prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Harrogate Town to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHarrogate Town to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Aldershot Town vs Harrogate Town preview and prediction
The match
Harrogate Town travel to EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground in the National League on Friday 28 August (19:45 WAT) to face Aldershot Town. Aldershot Town are 14th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Harrogate Town sit 2nd on 32 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Aldershot Town's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Kidderminster Harriers 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Harrogate Town's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Barrow 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Harrogate Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Aldershot Town and 1.9 for Harrogate Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aldershot Town 22%, draw 22%, Harrogate Town 56%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Harrogate Town to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Aldershot Town 1–1 Harrogate Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aldershot Town22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.65
Harrogate Town56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
3.08Expected goals
1.14Aldershot Town xG
1.95Harrogate Town xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Aldershot Town 1.1 – 1.9 Harrogate Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Harrogate Town to win✗
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.48
Half-time result
Harrogate Town ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Harrogate Town / FT Harrogate Town✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.14
–
Form
Aldershot Town – last 6
DDLWWW
22 Aug
@ Kidderminster Harriers
1–1
D
18 Aug
vs Fulham U21
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Hartlepool
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Boston United
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Braintree
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Hanwell Town
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Harrogate Town – last 6
DWWWDW
22 Aug
vs Barrow
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Wealdstone
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Solihull Moors
5–2
W
1 Aug
vs Scarborough Athletic
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Doncaster
2–2
D
21 Jul
@ South Shields
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aldershot Town and Harrogate Town.
What is the prediction for Aldershot Town vs Harrogate Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Aldershot Town vs Harrogate Town?
On our numbers Aldershot Town have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Harrogate Town 56%.
How many goals will there be in Aldershot Town vs Harrogate Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aldershot Town vs Harrogate Town?
Our predicted score is Aldershot Town 1–1 Harrogate Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Aldershot Town vs Harrogate Town?
Aldershot Town vs Harrogate Town (National League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
