Value bet: Sutton Utd to win @ 2.38 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSutton Utd to win ✓46% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.08
Gateshead vs Sutton Utd preview and prediction
The match
Sutton Utd travel to Gateshead International Stadium in the National League on Friday 28 August (19:45 WAT) to face Gateshead. Gateshead are 24th with 4 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Sutton Utd sit 11th on 24 points (in the top half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gateshead's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Yeovil Town 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Sutton Utd's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Hartlepool 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sutton Utd arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Gateshead and 1.5 for Sutton Utd. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Sutton Utd to win at 2.38 – 46% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Gateshead 1–1 Sutton Utd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gateshead33%fair 3.03 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.35
Sutton Utd46%fair 2.17 · @2.38
2.68Expected goals
1.20Gateshead xG
1.48Sutton Utd xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gateshead 1.2 – 1.5 Sutton Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sutton Utd to win✓
46%
2.17
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sutton Utd / FT Sutton Utd✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.08
–
Form
Gateshead – last 6
LDWLLL
22 Aug
@ Yeovil Town
0–3
L
18 Aug
vs Nottingham Forest U21
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Woking
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Eastleigh
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Spennymoor Town
1–2
L
28 Jul
vs South Shields
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sutton Utd – last 6
WDWWWW
22 Aug
vs Hartlepool
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Leicester City U21
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Altrincham
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Woking
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Southampton U21
3–2
W
28 Jul
vs Folkestone Invicta
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gateshead and Sutton Utd.
What is the prediction for Gateshead vs Sutton Utd?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gateshead vs Sutton Utd?
On our numbers Gateshead have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sutton Utd 46%.
How many goals will there be in Gateshead vs Sutton Utd?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gateshead vs Sutton Utd?
Our predicted score is Gateshead 1–1 Sutton Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Gateshead vs Sutton Utd?
Gateshead vs Sutton Utd (National League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Gateshead International Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
