Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Southend to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouthend to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chanceSouthend or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Solihull Moors vs Southend preview and prediction
The match
Southend travel to Damson Park in the National League on Saturday 22 August (12:30 WAT) to face Solihull Moors. Solihull Moors are 22nd with 13 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Southend sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Solihull Moors's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Middlesbrough U21 1–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Southend's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Scunthorpe 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Southend arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.1 for Solihull Moors and 2.1 for Southend. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Southend to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Solihull Moors 1–2 Southend. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Solihull Moors19%fair 5.20 · @3.70
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.60
Southend61%fair 1.65 · @1.80
3.18Expected goals
1.09Solihull Moors xG
2.09Southend xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Solihull Moors 1.1 – 2.1 Southend expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southend to win✓
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Southend or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.40
Half-time result
Southend ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southend / FT Southend✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
Solihull Moors – last 6
LLLLDW
18 Aug
vs Middlesbrough U21
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Boston United
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Harrogate Town
2–5
L
1 Aug
vs Northampton
2–4
L
28 Jul
vs Burton Albion
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Hereford
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Southend – last 6
WWWDLD
15 Aug
vs Scunthorpe
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Altrincham
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Aveley
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs Leyton Orient
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Northampton
1–3
L
18 Jul
vs West Ham
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Solihull Moors and Southend.
What is the prediction for Solihull Moors vs Southend?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Solihull Moors vs Southend?
On our numbers Solihull Moors have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Southend 61%.
How many goals will there be in Solihull Moors vs Southend?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Solihull Moors vs Southend?
Our predicted score is Solihull Moors 1–2 Southend, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Solihull Moors vs Southend?
Solihull Moors vs Southend (National League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Damson Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
