Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Harrogate Town to win @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHarrogate Town to win ✗51% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Harrogate Town vs Barrow preview and prediction
The match
The National League sees Harrogate Town take on Barrow on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Exercise Stadium. Harrogate Town are 2nd with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Barrow sit 9th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Harrogate Town's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Wealdstone 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Barrow's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to AFC Hornchurch 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Harrogate Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 February 2026, finished Barrow 0–1 Harrogate Town.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.0 for Harrogate Town and 1.4 for Barrow. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Harrogate Town 51%, draw 21%, Barrow 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Harrogate Town to win at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Harrogate Town 1–1 Barrow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Harrogate Town51%fair 1.95 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.45
Barrow28%fair 3.57 · @2.90
3.39Expected goals
1.98Harrogate Town xG
1.41Barrow xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Harrogate Town 2.0 – 1.4 Barrow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town vs Barrow?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Harrogate Town vs Barrow?
On our numbers Harrogate Town have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barrow 28%.
How many goals will there be in Harrogate Town vs Barrow?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harrogate Town vs Barrow?
Our predicted score is Harrogate Town 1–1 Barrow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Harrogate Town vs Barrow?
Harrogate Town vs Barrow (National League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Exercise Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
