Value bet: Port Vale to win @ 3.10 – our chance 44% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +36%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPort Vale to win ✓44% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.22
Blackpool vs Port Vale preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees Blackpool take on Port Vale on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Blackpool's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Barrow 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Port Vale's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Real Murcia 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Port Vale arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 March 2026, finished Blackpool 3–2 Port Vale.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Blackpool and 1.6 for Port Vale. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Blackpool 35%, draw 21%, Port Vale 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Port Vale to win at 3.10 – 44% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Blackpool 1–1 Port Vale. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Blackpool35%fair 2.83 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.35
Port Vale44%fair 2.28 · @3.10
2.95Expected goals
1.38Blackpool xG
1.57Port Vale xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Blackpool 1.4 – 1.6 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Blackpool vs Port Vale?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Blackpool vs Port Vale?
On our numbers Blackpool have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Port Vale 44%.
How many goals will there be in Blackpool vs Port Vale?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blackpool vs Port Vale?
Our predicted score is Blackpool 1–1 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Blackpool vs Port Vale?
Blackpool vs Port Vale (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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