Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlbion FC to win ✗47% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.76
Albion FC vs Danubio preview and prediction
The match
Danubio travel to Estadio Luis Franzini in the Primera División Apertura on Saturday 1 August (16:00 WAT) to face Albion FC. Albion FC are 12th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Danubio sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Albion FC's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Juventud 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Danubio's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Atletico Torque 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Albion FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Albion FC and 1.0 for Danubio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Albion FC 47%, draw 22%, Danubio 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Albion FC 1–1 Danubio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Albion FC47%fair 2.15 · @2.08
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Danubio31%fair 3.22 · @3.50
2.33Expected goals
1.32Albion FC xG
1.01Danubio xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Albion FC 1.3 – 1.0 Danubio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albion FC to win✗
47%
2.15
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albion FC / FT Albion FC✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.76
–
Form
Albion FC – last 6
LDWLDW
17 Jul
vs Juventud
0–1
L
10 Jul
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Progreso
2–1
W
31 May
vs Atletico Torque
1–2
L
17 May
vs Wanderers
0–0
D
4 May
vs Club Nacional
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Danubio – last 6
LDDDLL
24 Jul
@ Atletico Torque
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Club Nacional
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Juventud
1–1
D
5 Jun
@ Wanderers
0–0
D
30 May
vs Progreso
1–2
L
18 May
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albion FC and Danubio.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Albion FC vs Danubio?
On our numbers Albion FC have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Danubio 31%.
How many goals will there be in Albion FC vs Danubio?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albion FC vs Danubio?
Our predicted score is Albion FC 1–1 Danubio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Albion FC vs Danubio?
Albion FC vs Danubio (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Franzini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
