Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Deportivo Maldonado or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Maldonado to win @ 1.82 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Maldonado to win ✗59% · @1.82
Double chanceDeportivo Maldonado or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.82
Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud preview and prediction
The match
Juventud travel to face Deportivo Maldonado in the Primera División Apertura on Saturday 1 August (19:00 WAT). Deportivo Maldonado are 4th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Juventud sit 8th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Deportivo Maldonado's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Progreso 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Juventud's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Albion FC 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Deportivo Maldonado arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished Deportivo Maldonado 2–1 Juventud.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Deportivo Maldonado and 0.8 for Juventud. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.
Safer route: Deportivo Maldonado or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Deportivo Maldonado to win at 1.82 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Maldonado or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 Juventud. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Maldonado59%fair 1.68 · @1.82
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.40
Juventud16%fair 6.45 · @4.00
2.66Expected goals
1.82Deportivo Maldonado xG
0.84Juventud xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maldonado 1.8 – 0.8 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?
Our pick is Deportivo Maldonado or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?
On our numbers Deportivo Maldonado have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Juventud 16%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?
Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
